The New York Times estimates Donald Trump’s chances of winning the election at 88%.
The NYT writes about it
Trump currently has 214 electoral votes, while Harris has 179. To win, a candidate needs 270 votes.
Polls are already closed in most states, including seven swing states. At the moment, Trump is leading in five swing states, with the exception of Michigan. He also holds an advantage in Pennsylvania, where the winner will receive 19 electoral votes.
According to the data, 42.5 million voters (46.3%) supported Harris, while 48.2 million (52.5%) supported Trump. As of 6:24 a.m., the probability of Trump’s victory increased to 91%.