The winter of 2024-2025 will be the hardest for the previous three years. Ukrenergo is preparing several scenarios, but in the worst case – there will be no electricity for up to eight hours.
About it in an interview to the project “Karp’yak on Suspilne” told the interim head of “Ukrenergo” Alexei Brecht.
“Three options, which also take into account the worst-case scenario – the continuation of massive shelling of infrastructure, distribution network, generation facilities and so on,” – said Brecht.
He recalled that Ukraine lost 9 GW of generating capacity in the spring due to Russian shelling, which is equal to the Netherlands’ summer electricity consumption, or Ukraine’s nighttime electricity consumption in the summer.
According to Brecht, this is a “significant loss”, Ukrenergo has a plan to restore this capacity.
The worst-case scenario being considered for the passage of winter is a continuation of massive Russian attacks on generation facilities.
“Under the condition of this scenario, in the presence of the volume of electricity imports that we already have today, we can have restrictions on electricity capacity on critical, cold days, the value of up to two queues of outage schedules, no more. That is, up to 8 hours,” Brecht emphasized.